Quantifying Micro-Level Partisanship Change into 2019

vsg19-pid-trend1_2020-01-22

vsg19-pid-change1_2020-01-23

vsg19-pid-corr_2020-01-23

vsg19-pid-ideo-corr_2020-01-23

More here.

9/26/20 edit:

I made a small error in creating the last figure in this blog post for correlations between party ID and ideology. Specifically, I mistakenly included “Not sure” responses for the ideology survey items (operationalized as continuous variables), which resulted in attenuated correlations. Below is the corrected figure:

While playing around with this data, I calculated another interesting figure– a correlation matrix for individual level ideology at different years (which shows high stability for ideology, but lower than that for partisanship):

Quantifying Micro-Level Partisanship Change into 2019

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